DOHA: Qatar was ranked among top 10 in terms of outflow into global direct real estate in a report by CBRE Group. Outflows from Qatar and UAE into global direct real estate stood at $5.24bn and $4.54bn, respectively in the first half (H1) of 2015, ranking the Gulf countries in the fifth and seventh positions, according to the latest research from global property adviser CBRE Group.
While recent activity was boosted by a few large sovereign wealth fund deals, the investor base is growing and so is their investment strategy towards greater geographic and sector diversification, report said.
Despite the low oil prices Middle Eastern purchasers remain very active, collectively investing $11.5bn outside their home markets in H1, 2015.
Global commercial real estate (CRE) investment reached $407bn in H1, the strongest first half of a year since 2007, and up 14 percent year-over-year, the research said.
Although rapid growth has been maintained for several years, the rate of growth slowed in H1 and was vastly different at a regional and country level. The Americas experienced a growth of 31 percent year-over-year, while a strong dollar impacted activity in EMEA (Europe, Middle East & Africa) and Asia Pacific (APAC).
In dollar terms, EMEA was up just 5 percent from H1, 2014, with APAC down 19 percent year-over-year. When measured in local currency EMEA grew by 25 percent, while a decline in APAC was more muted at 9 percent year-on-year.
“Data from H1, 2015 shows a continuing acceleration in the flow of capital out of Middle East region by private offices and high-net-worth-individuals,” said Nick Maclean, Managing Director, CBRE Middle East.
“This, to some extent, is compensating for a decline in sovereign wealth capital going overseas, naturally perhaps as a consequence of reduced revenue allocations because of recent oil repricing. The interest in overseas investments, particularly from the UAE, is also being influenced by some uncertainties in the local real estate markets.”
“Capital flows into real estate are well supported. Even ignoring rental value growth, real estate offers a ‘spread’ over bond rates of between 200 to 300 bps across global markets and capital will continue to be attracted to the sector,” said Iryna Pylypchuk, director, Global Research, CBRE.
“The influx of new sources of capital targeting real estate as part of long-term liability-matching allocation strategies is helping to extend the investment cycle. At the same time, this pushes the ‘old capital’ into niche sectors, prompting expansion of the investment universe,” Pylypchuk said.
The world’s leading destinations, in terms of global capital flows, is a balanced mix of cities across all main regions — London was the most targeted city by cross-border investors in H1, 2015, followed by New York and Paris. This contrasts with the top destinations for overall investment where the bias is strongly on the US. New York was the leading city overall, followed by London and Los Angeles.
At a regional level, the influence of global investors varies from as little as 10 percent in the Americas, to almost 50 percent of the market in EMEA. The largest contributor to these flows during H1, 2015 was the US, accounting for a stand-out $25.4bn of investment outside its home market. The next three largest sources were Canada ($8.5bn), Germany ($7.1bn) and China ($6.6bn), with their combined volume still considerably less than the US.
“The influence of global capital is growing to the point that these investors are becoming the “market-maker” in setting the price in the most desired and liquid markets across the globe. Within this growing wave of cross-border capital, there are elements of old and new,” said Chris Ludeman, global president, Capital Markets, CBRE.